Utilizing Ecological Modeling to Follow the Potential Spread of Honey Bee Pest (Megaselia scalaris) from Nearby Countries towards Saudi Arabia under Climate Change Conditions

The current challenge for the development of beekeeping is possibility bee pests invading new areas. It well known that each geographical range has its unique pest species. fly Megaselia scalaris a facultative parasitoid to honey bees. This been recorded in various countries while information about it Saudi Arabia still seldom. main objective this study was follow spread from North Africa/South Europe towards Gulf utilizing ecological modeling. Maxent, as specialist software analyzing species distribution, used combination five environmental factors. analysis performed cover and future conditions (2050). outputs model were analyzed regard their performance distribution M. area. top factor contributing annual mean temperature with percentage 56.3. maps emphasized possible occurrence northern parts Arabia. wide establishment central southern not supported. Screening apiaries located Northern areas presence using specific bait traps could be good recommendation study.